Each week I’ll be providing a recap on the past week in Fantasy Football and also an outlook for the upcoming week. This week to start it off I’ll be providing article links that I’ve found helpful this week for setting my teams roster and will point out some key notes from each article. Next week I’ll start up the “3 Up” and “3 Down” weekly recap article in addition to the upcoming week’s preview.
Fantasy football Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em:
Here’s a Sports Illustrated Fantasy football Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em article that will help provide a guide to who you should start and who you should bench for Week 7. Here’s some key take aways below from this article:
Andy Dalton (vs. Cleveland)
Dalton has had poor touchdown luck this season, but he might be having a better overall year than his breakout 2015 campaign. He has racked up 1,757 yards and 8.06 YPA through six games, ranking fifth in the league in YPA, but second among quarterbacks with at least 200 attempts (Matt Ryan is first). The Browns have allowed the second-most points per game to quarterbacks and have yet to hold a passer to fewer than 18.2 standard-league points.
I’m with Michael Beller on Andy Dalton being a strong start this week against the Browns. With Cam Newton on a bye this week I’m using Dalton as a bye-week fill in and hoping he’ll put up top-10 quarterback numbers. Dalton is averaging almost 300 yards passing a game (292.8) but with only six touchdowns and two interceptions he should add to that low touchdown number this weekend.
Jeremy Hill (vs. Cleveland)
Hill has been a painfully frustrating player to own this season, but this matchup sets up well for him. The Bengals are favored by 10 points at home against a Browns team that has allowed the 11th-most fantasy points per game to running backs. Hill is still dealing with a slightly ailing shoulder, but the Bengals didn’t limit his workload at all last week. If they’re running out the clock in the second half, he will be their back of choice.
I also like his running back Jeremy Hill to have a nice bounce back game. If I own any Bengals players on my roster they’ll certainly be in my lineup in Week 7 as they can get going with a matchup against the Browns. The Bengals should be in the red zone quite a bit this weekend and in those instances Hill should be getting the carries over Bernard, so that gives high upside with touchdown points.
Marcus Mariota (vs. Indianapolis)
Mariota is seventh among quarterbacks in total points and ninth in points-per-game (minimum five starts) in standard-scoring fantasy leagues. He’s running more than he has previously in his career, and is getting it done through the air despite substandard weapons at receiver. Mariota is one of nine quarterbacks with at least 10 passing touchdowns this year. The others are Matt Ryan, Ben Roethlisberger, Matthew Stafford, Andrew Luck, Drew Brees, Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers. Meanwhile, the Colts have surrendered the ninth-most points per game to quarterbacks this year.
I like Mariota’s chances this week to keep up his hot streak against a struggling Colts defense. He’s put up some big numbers the past two weeks with six passing touchdowns and has run for 60+ yards in both games. He doesn’t have much help in the passing game besides Delanie Walker but look for Mariota to continue his dual threat abilities to pass and run the ball against the Colts.
Love, Hate from Matthew Berry
Matthew Berry released his Week 7 “Love, Hate and the definitive TMR interview” this afternoon. Berry is always a great read for fantasy owners as he mixes in humor along with statistics and advice for fantasy owners. Some key points from this post that I found as key take aways:
Carson Palmer, Cardinals: Podcast fans know how I feel about Palmer, who has just two touchdown passes and five interceptions in his past three games. He scored a total of 26 points in those three weeks. For comparison, six different QBs scored at least 26 in Week 6. Palmer has been looking old and skittish recently. His yards per attempt are down significantly this season (not good on an offense that thrives in chucking it), and he should be under pressure often — only five teams in the NFL have more sacks than the Seahawks. The days of Palmer being an elite fantasy starter every week appear over. It was fun while it lasted, Carson.
I agree with Carson Palmer being listed on the “Quarterbacks I hate in Week 7” list, he’s really struggled the past few weeks, including a missed game recovering from a concussion. With a matchup this Sunday with the Seahawks I’m staying as far away as possible.
Isaiah Crowell, Browns: Part of the appeal here was the volume, and it’s just not there recently. Crowell has outsnapped Duke Johnson just 100-97 the past three weeks. Crowell is averaging a mere 1.73 yards per carry the past two games, and it’s clear the Browns miss left guard Joel Bitonio, a terrific run blocker who is out for the year after suffering a Lisfranc injury. The Bengals have been run on recently, first by Zeke Elliott and then last week by the Patriots, but Crowell isn’t going to get that kind of workload or blocking. He’s merely a TD-dependent flex this week.
As a Duke Johnson owner myself, I’m very weary of staring either Crowell or Johnson with confidence. As Berry mentioned Crowell has been getting the volume but the results aren’t there (22 carries for 18 total yards last two games) and I have a tough time relying on the woeful Browns offense on a week-to-week basis.
Spencer Ware, Chiefs: By the time the Chiefs fully ease Jamaal Charles back into the role, he’ll be retired. They are taking lots and lots of precaution with their 29-year-old running back who has had two ACL surgeries (hmm, when I say it like that, it actually makes a lot of sense), so Ware has continued to play a larger role in this offense. The best way to defend Drew Brees is to keep him off the field, playing ball-control offense, which you should see a lot of Sunday. Ware is averaging 7.1 yards per touch, so he should have no issue getting into the end zone against a Saints team that has allowed a league-high 11 rushing touchdowns, including multiple such scores in three straight games.
I didn’t have much faith in Jamaal Charles coming into the season in the Game-Time Decision Running Back Preview. In one of my fantasy drafts an owner inexplicably took Charles with an end of first round pick which threw me off a bit for my pick since I didn’t expect him to be taken in the first couple rounds. Ware has put up solid numbers this season and looked great last week against Oakland with 24 carries for 131 yards and two receptions for 32 yards. Ware has a juicy matchup against the Saints this weekend has an easy top-10 RB rank in my eyes.
Jacquizz Rodgers, Buccaneers: This is mostly based on the matchup. The 49ers are allowing 5.0 yards per carry while coughing up 164 rushing yards more than any other team this season. It’s worth noting that the last four running backs the 49ers have faced are LeSean McCoy, David Johnson, Ezekiel Elliott and Christine Michael. But still, Rodgers actually looked decent on Monday night in Week 5, and he’s going to get all the carries in this one. The 49ers are allowing a league-high 3.29 yards per carry before contact, so Rodgers is a legit RB2 this week.
In one of my leagues I made a Jacquizz Rodgers pickup last week on his bye week just in case Doug Martin wouldn’t be ready for Week 7 and it looks like that pickup is going to pay off. I haven’t had much luck at the RB position in 2016 going with a rotation of middle of the road backs, but I’m giving Rodgers a shot this week with the great matchup against the 49ers defense and the volume he received last start with 30 carries for 101 yards and five receptions for 28 yards against the Panthers.