We all saw this coming, Week 5 of the MLB season was dominated by…wait for it…Bartolo Colon. Yes, that Bartolo Colon, the 42-year-old, rubber armed, 85 mph throwing Mets fifth starter. While big time starters like Max Scherzer, Jacob deGrom, Felix Hernandez and David Price struggled, Bartolo Colon excelled. In addition to Colon, it was a bit of a throwback week with these names having nice weeks: Brandon Phillips, Ben Zobrist, Robinson Canó, David Ortiz, Mike Napoli and David Wright.
On a weekly basis I’ll be providing a recap on the past week in Fantasy Baseball and the outlook for the upcoming week. Here’s your Fantasy Baseball Week 5 Recap and advice for Week 6.
1. Bartolo Colon, SP, Mets (Last Week: 14.2 IP, 2 W, 12K, 1.84 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 2 QS)
Analysis: How could I not put Bartolo Colon in the top spot of the Week 5 recap? As ESPN recapped, he now owns the unlikeliest home run of all time. All jokes aside and besides the epic home run as show above, he had a fantastic week with two wins, two quality starts, 12 strikeouts, 1.84 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 14.2 innings. Fantasy wise, you know what you’re getting with Colon, he’ll likely end up around a 4.00 ERA, pitch close to 200 innings with 12+ wins, which brings fantasy value.
2. Ben Zobrist, 2B/OF, Cubs (Last Week: .360 AVG, 4 HR, 15 RBI, 8 Runs, 0 SB, 5 BB)
— #VoteCubs (@Cubs) May 9, 2016
Analysis: Ben Zobrist earned a share of NL Player of the Week honors with the great Barolo Colon. It was a well deserved honor with a ridiculous 15 RBI and Zobrist has had a great start to the 2016 season batting .277 with five home runs, 25 RBI, 21 runs, 23 walks and one steal. He’s been a great fit for the Cubs and living up to the Game-Time Decision preseason pick as Best Value in the Second Base Preview. Look for Zobrist to continue putting up solid numbers in a loaded Cubs lineup.
3. José Altuve, 2B, Astros (Last Week: .400 AVG, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 9 Runs, 4 SB, 3 BB)
Analysis: I’ll admit it, I was skeptical in the preseason about José Altuve going in the first round of fantasy drafts ahead of power bats like Anthony Rizzo, José Bautista, Edwin Encarnación and José Abreu. Altuve has proved me wrong so far in a big way, putting up huge numbers across all fantasy categories and towards the top of the overall fantasy rankings. He’s been filling up the stat sheet in all major fantasy categories. He has a surprising nine home runs already on the season and should easily top his career high of 15 from last year. I did have him ranked as the top second baseman in the preseason preview but in no way saw these kind of power numbers coming from Altuve.
1. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, DBacks (Last Week: .143 AVG, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R, 2 SB, 6 BB)
Is Paul Goldschmidt being too selective? Chip Hale thinks he might be, and there's evidence to support the theory. https://t.co/xsMAv1UVeD
— Nick Piecoro (@nickpiecoro) May 6, 2016
Analysis: Paul Goldschmidt has had an extremely quiet the past two weeks, batting .150 with one home run, one RBI, three runs scored, 13 stikeouts and 15 walks. There’s a solid link in the tweet above from azcentral that goes in depth on Goldschmidt’s struggles and the thoughts of DBacks Manager Chip Hale. This stat below stuck out at me, Goldschmidt will need to be more aggressive at the plate to bounce back and not become the right-handed Joey Votto.
This year, he’s reached two strikes in 60 percent of his plate appearances, up from 53 percent in his career prior to this season. The percentage of his strikes that have been looking is 37.5 percent; that’s up from 31.7 percent.
2. Chris Davis, 1B/OF, Orioles (Last Week: .048 AVG, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R, 0 SB, 2 BB)
— Eduardo A. Encina (@EddieInTheYard) May 8, 2016
Analysis: Chris Davis was in the midst of a 0-for-16 slump until he homered on Saturday off Athletics starter Jesse Hahn. On the season he’s batting exactly at The Mendoza Line with an even .200 average to go along with eight home runs, 19 RBI, 40 strikeouts and 18 walks in 30 games. The power numbers are there, but the average and strikeout rate are looking like the rough 2014 season where he batted .196 with 173 strikeouts in 127 games. If he can get to 45+ home runs again he’ll be worth sacrificing batting average in fantasy leagues but Davis can have some rough weeks.
3. David Price, SP, Red Sox (Last Week: 4.2 IP, 0 W, 4K, 11.57 ERA, 2.14 WHIP, 0 QS)
— NESN (@NESN) May 7, 2016
Analysis: The Red Sox made a huge investment in David Price in the offseason signing him to a 7-year, $217 million deal. Price has so far disappointed through his first seven starts, sporting a 6.75 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and a misleading 4-1 record. Opponents are batting .278 against Price and he’s given up 45 hits and 31 earned runs in 41.1 innings pitched. This recent article claims that with the help of Dustin Pedroia, Price has discovered what was throwing off his delivery and working on a mechanical fix. The start for Price is concerning especially the substantial dip in average velocity of his fastball; down from 94.1 in 2015 to 91.7 in 2016.
Two-Start Pitchers for Week 6:
Here’s a Fox Sports Fantasy article that will help provide the run down of two-start starting pitchers for Week 6. Two-start pitchers can be huge in head-to-head fantasy matchups, providing twice the opportunity to rack up wins, strikeouts and quality starts. Here are my thoughts on pitchers scheduled for two starts in Week 6.
- Three I like:
– Jose Fernandez, MIA (vs. MIL, @ WAS)
– Kevin Gausman BAL (@ MIN, vs. DET)
– Drew Smyly, TB (@ SEA, vs. OAK)
- Three I don’t like:
– Matt Cain, SF (vs. TOR, @ ARI)
– Scott Kazmir, LAD (vs. NYM, vs. STL)
– Ivan Nova, NYY (vs. KC, vs. CWS)
Recap from Week 5 Two-Start Pitcher Picks:
- Three I like:
– Jake Arrieta, CHC (@ PIT, vs. WAS): 12 IP, 1W, 12K, 1.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 1 QS
– Matt Harvey, NYM (vs. ATL, @ SD): 11.2 IP, 1 W, 14K, 3.86 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 1 QS
– Michael Wacha, STL (vs. PHI, vs. PIT): 14 IP, 0 W, 14K, 3.21 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 1 QS
- Three I don’t like:
– R.A. Dickey, TOR (vs. TEX, vs. LAD): 13.1 IP, 0 W, 6K, 2.03 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2 QS
– Martin Perez, TEX (@ TOR, @ DET): 11 IP, 0 W, 11K, 1.64 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 1 QS
– Luis Severino, NYY (@ BAL, vs. BOS): 12.2 IP, 0 W, 13K, 4.97 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 1 QS