Week 3 of the Fantasy Baseball season is in the books. We saw some big time starting pitchers have rough weeks (Max Scherzer, David Price, Dallas Keuchel and Chris Archer) and some up and coming pitching prospects get the call for their first start of the season (Blake Snell, Aaron Blair, Henry Owens). Not sure if the player you picked up as a free agent early in the season is going to be legit all year? Check out Chris Towers from CBS Sports article that analyzes the early breakouts to the 2016 season. There’s some names included in his list that I’ve discussed in previous posts and I tend to agree with Towers on his assessment of the Orioles Mark Trumbo:
Trumbo is off to an outrageous start, but it’s not totally out of nowhere. In his first 17 starts last season, Trumbo hit .324/.343/.559, and he had another stretch from late April to mid-May where he clubbed five homers while hitting .300 in 17 starts, so he is capable of these kinds of runs. The problem is, he typically doesn’t sustain them; he followed up that mid-May run by hitting just .206/.270/.397 in his next 18 games, and hit just .254/.308/.415 from May 13 on last season. He’ll always be a solid source of power, and playing in this Orioles’ offense could help Trumbo get back to the high-90’s in RBI for the first time since 2013, but Trumbo is an extremely streaky hitter, so this isn’t necessarily anything new.
On a weekly basis I’ll be providing a recap on the past week in Fantasy Baseball and the outlook for the upcoming week. Here’s your Fantasy Baseball Week 3 Recap and advice for Week 4.
1. Mookie Betts, OF, Red Sox (Last week: .324 AVG, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 10 Runs, 2 SB, 2 BB)
— Boston Red Sox (@RedSox) April 23, 2016
Analysis: Mookie Betts, after a strong Week 3 has moved into the top-10 overall fantasy players based on Yahoo! player rankings. He has strong numbers across the board: batting .274 with four home runs, three doubles, two triples, 14 RBI, 16 runs scored, four steals and three walks through 18 games atop the Red Sox lineup. The 23-year-old right fielder is a strong candidate for 20+ homers, 20+ steals and 100+ runs scored in the potent Red Sox lineup.
2. Ian Desmond, OF/SS, Rangers (Last Week: .421 AVG, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 7 Runs, 3 SB, 5 BB)
— Texas Rangers (@Rangers) April 23, 2016
Analysis: Ian Desmond fantasy owners have been waiting for this week from him, finally showing off his potential in a strong Rangers lineup. He did a little bit of everything in Week 3 showing off his power and speed potential with two homers, three steals and seven runs scored. The shortstop position eligibility is key here for everyday left fielder Desmond as position depth is an issue at shortstop in fantasy. There’s potential for Desmond to put up nice numbers in a contract year if he can put it all together for a good stretch of 2016 season, fantasy owners should hold onto Desmond.
3. Colby Rasmus, OF, Astros (Last Week: .316 AVG, 4 HR, 10 RBI, 5 Runs, 1 SB, 5 BB)
ELIAS: Colby Rasmus entered today as the only major-league player with at least 15 hits, 15 RBIs and 15 walks this season.
— Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN) April 24, 2016
Analysis: Colby Rasmus is currently a top-15 overall fantasy player, just as we all expected, right? Rasmus filled up the stat sheet in Week 3 and hit a game tying two-run home run in the ninth inning off Red Sox stud closer Craig Kimbrel. He’s batting fourth these days in a young and exciting Astros lineup that is off to a bit of a slow start besides second overall ranked José Altuve, George Springer and Carlos Correa. The home run numbers from Colby Rasmus are legit with seven already and could reach 30+ homers should things go right for the left fielder, but the batting average you can certainly expect to drop a bit closer to his career average of .245 from the current .293 average on the season.
1. Justin Upton, OF, Tigers (Last Week: .150 AVG, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R, 2 BB, 0 SB)
— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) April 24, 2016
Analysis: Justin Upton is off to a slow start as he’s batting .214 with one home run, three RBI and seven runs scored on the season. It’s still early, but the Detroit Tigers lineup had high expectations coming into the 2016 season and so far has disappointed besides second baseman Ian Kinsler. Upton’s average is down to .214 with only six hits in his last 43 At-bats with an astounding 19 strikeouts in that span. It’s still early in the season, there’s certainly potential for the Tigers lineup to get hot and Upton will have spot in the middle of the order.
2. Joey Votto, 1B, Reds (Last Week: .167 AVG, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R, 2 BB, 0 SB)
— Deadspin (@Deadspin) April 22, 2016
Analysis: Joey Votto, a career.309 hitter is batting .206 with two home runs, nine RBI, six runs and eight walks to start the 2016 campaign. The walks are the surprising stat considering the 2010 NL MVP has averaged 106 walks per season over the past five years. The Reds are in transition mode as a team and it could be a long season for Votto owners, now’s the time to trade him based off his big name while there’s still some value left.
3. José Abreu, 1B, White Sox (Last Week: .138 AVG, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R, 0 BB, 0 SB)
— Comiskey Park Hitmen (@CPHSox) April 20, 2016
Analysis: The typically steady José Abreu is batting .183 with three home runs, eight RBI, six runs, and five walks to start the season. Through his first two seasons in the majors he averaged .301 with 33 home runs, 103 RBI and 84 runs scored per season. You could even argue that the 2016 White Sox lineup has the best supporting cast compared to the previous two seasons with the additions of third baseman Todd Frazier and second baseman Brett Lawrie. He’s been a fast starter the last two plus seasons in March/April months batting .253 with 18 home runs and 55 RBI . It’s too early to trade Abreu as the consistent first baseman should turn it around once the White Sox offense gets going in 2016.
Two-Start Pitchers for Week 4:
Here’s a Fox Sports Fantasy article that will help provide the run down of two-start starting pitchers for Week 4. Two-start pitchers can be huge in head-to-head fantasy matchups, providing twice the opportunity to rack up wins, strikeouts and quality starts. Here are my thoughts on pitchers scheduled for two starts in Week 4.
- Three I like:
– Kyle Hendricks, CHC (vs. MIL, vs. ATL)
– Clayton Kershaw, LAD (vs. MIA, vs. SD)
– Danny Salazar, CLE (@ MIN, @ PHI)
- Three I don’t like:
– Nathan Eovaldi, NYY (@ TEX, @ BOS)
– Jeff Locke, PIT (@ COL, vs. CIN)
– Julio Teheran, ATL (vs. BOS, @ CHC)
Recap from Week 3 Two-Start Pitcher Picks:
- Three I like:
– Hector Santiago, LAA (@ CWS, vs. SEA): 13 IP, 2 W, 17K, 1.38 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 2 QS
– Stephen Strasburg, WAS (@ MIA, vs. MIN): 15.1 IP, 1 W, 20K, 2.35 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 1 QS
– Noah Syndergaard, NYM (vs. MIA, @ CLE): 7 IP, 1 W, 8K, 1.29ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 1 QS
- Three I don’t like:
– Clay Buchholz, BOS (vs. TOR, @ HOU): 12.1IP, 0 W, 8K, 3.65 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 1 QS
– Scott Feldman, HOU (@ TEX, vs. BOS): 9.1 IP, 0 W, 4K, 5.79 ERA, 2.25 WHIP, 0 QS
– Alfredo Simon, CIN (vs. COL, vs. CHC): 2.2IP, 0 W, 3K, 27.00 ERA, 3.75 WHIP, 0 QS
* Simon and Syndergaard were projected for two-starts each in Week 3, but only ended up starting once.