After a crazy Week 1 of the Fantasy Baseball season with breakout players popping out of nowhere, we seem to have calmed down a bit in Week 2. ESPN’s Doug Kern has a solid read with his article profiling the week in interesting and unusual MLB stats, and of course the Rockies Trevor Story was included:
The Rockies’ four triples set another team record, and Trevor Story became only the second player in the live-ball era to have a multitriple game and a multihomer game within his first eight career appearances. The other is Willie McCovey.
On a weekly basis I’ll be providing a recap on the past week in Fantasy Baseball and the outlook for the upcoming week. Here’s your Fantasy Baseball Week 2 Recap and advice for Week 3.
1. Bryce Harper, OF, Nationals (Last week: .346, 4 HR, 12 RBI, 6 Runs, 2 SB, 3 BB)
Analysis: Bryce Harper had a monster second week of the season, putting up solid numbers across all fantasy categories. As shown above, he hit the 100th home run of his career with a towering grand slam off Braves starter Julio Teherán. What’s most surprising about Harpers 2016 campaign is the three bases he’s already stolen after only stealing six in all of the 2015 season. Harper is locked in this season and could push the Angels Mike Trout for top overall fantasy player at the end of the year.
2. Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies (Last Week: .333, 4 HR, 12 RBI, 7 Runs, 0 SB, 0 BB)
Analysis: After a bit of a slow start the first five games of the season, Nolan Arenado has really heated up. He had a monster game last Wednesday going 4-for-5 with two home runs, seven RBI and two runs cored in the Rockies 10-6 victory over the Giants. Arenado is now up to six home runs on the season with 16 RBI in the first 12 games. He’s in for a huge 2016 season and likely to push Donaldson for best 3B in all of Fantasy Baseball.
3. Mark Trumbo, OF, Orioles (Last Week: .320, 5 HR, 11 RBI, 8 Runs, 0 SB, 0 BB)
Analysis: I know it’s only April 18, but Mark Trumbo is leading the AL in batting average (.386), home runs (5) and slugging (.750). Trumbo is off to a blistering start and also second in the league with 11 RBI so far this season. Well known for his great first half of the season and down second half of the season, now is the time to ride the Trumbo hot streak. For his career in the first half he’s batted .263 with 83 home runs and 217 RBI compared to .242 with 53 home runs and 203 RBI in the second half. You can start Trumbo right now with confidence in this Orioles lineup thats full of power bats.
1. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, D’Backs (Last Week: .105, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R, 5 BB, 0 SB)
Paul Goldschmidt’s 8th inning home run was calculated at 430 feet, his 25th such home run in the last five years. pic.twitter.com/givKEWYVVB
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) April 12, 2016
Analysis: It was a down week for Paul Goldschmidt as he went 2-for-19, but he did make the one home run he hit count as it was a go-ahead 430 foot home run off the Dodgers Chris Hatcher in the 8th inning. Goldschmidt was given the day off Sunday for rest and hopefully that’ll help turn it around after the rough week. There’s nothing to worry about here, he’s still walking at a solid rate with nine already on the season and has three home runs and nine RBI.
2. Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Tigers (Last Week, .231, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 4 R, 5 BB, 0 SB)
Miguel Cabrera won today's #bp home run derby. He hit 13 home runs. Victor Martinez hit six, J.D. Martinez four and Justin Upton three.
— anthony fenech (@anthonyfenech) April 16, 2016
Analysis: Miguel Cabrera, who turns 33 years old today is off to a slow start so far this season. This is a bit concerning due to him usually being a fast starter with an overall .326 batting average, 63 home runs and 233 RBI total in the March/April months of the season throughout his career. Those stats along with the tough 2015 he experienced with only 18 home runs and 76 RBI, we’re likely talking about Cabrera no longer being that top-10 year in year out fantasy player. Although the power numbers dipped last year he did still bat .338, but without those power numbers and nonexistent speed at this point in his career his value does take a dive.
3. Matt Harvey, SP, Mets (Last Week: 5.2 IP, 0 W, 4K, 3 BB, 7.94 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 0 QS)
— Eric Simon (@AmazinAvenue) April 18, 2016
Analysis: Indians SP Corey Kluber was a candidate for a return to the “3 Down” list again this week, but I’ll switch it up and go with Mets starter Matt Harvey. He’s off to a rough start to the season with a 5.71 ERA and 1.56 WHIP, with only 9 strikeouts in three winless starts against the Royals, Phillies and Indians. Mets blog Amazin Avenue does a nice job in this article looking deep into Harvey’s struggles, the info below stuck out to me:
His swinging strike rate is down and his contact rate is up. Batters are also making more contact on pitches outside of the strike zone than normal. Those statistics align with his stuff not looking quite right.
|MLB avg for SP||9.3%||80.1%|
Two-Start Pitchers for Week 3:
Here’s a Fox Sports Fantasy article that will help provide the run down of two-start starting pitchers for Week 3. Two-start pitchers can be huge in head-to-head fantasy matchups, providing twice the opportunity to rack up wins, strikeouts and quality starts. Here are my thoughts on pitchers scheduled for two starts in Week 3.
- Three I like:
-Hector Santiago, LAA (@ CWS, vs. SEA)
-Stephen Strasburg, WAS (@ MIA, vs. MIN)
-Noah Syndergaard, NYM (@ PHI, @ ATL)
- Three I don’t like:
-Clay Buchholz, BOS (vs. TOR, @ HOU)
-Scott Feldman, HOU (@ TEX, vs. BOS)
-Alfredo Simon, CIN (vs. COL, vs. CHC)
Recap from Week 2 Two-Start Pitcher Picks:
- Three I like:
– Gio Gonzalez, WAS (vs. ATL, @ PHI): 13IP, 0 W, 12K, 0.69ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 2 QS
– Carlos Rodon, CWS (@ MIN, @ TB): 6 IP, 1 W, 6K, 0.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 2 QS
– Noah Syndergaard, NYM (vs. MIA, @ CLE): 7 IP, 0W, 12K, 1.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 1 QS
- Three I don’t like:
– Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA (vs. TEX, @ NYY): 13 IP, 0 W, 10K, 4.85 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 1 QS
– Ubaldo Jimenez, BAL (@ BOS, @ TEX): 5 IP, 0 W, 5K, 7.20 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, 0 QS
– Michael Pineda, NYY (@ TOR, vs. SEA): 6 IP, 0 W, 6K, 3.00 ERA, 1.33WHIP, 1 QS
* Jimenez, Pineda, Rodon and Syndergaard were projected for two-starts each in Week 2, but only ended up starting once. These four are now scheduled for two-starts in Week 3.