We’re now through the halfway point of the fantasy baseball season with Week 11 in the books. During the week we had big time players like Josh Donaldson, Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Rizzo, Miguel Cabrera and Edwin Encarnacion live up to their high expectations. We also had some big time pitchers land on the Disabled List or have their start skipped: Gerrit Cole, Felix Hernandez and José Fernández. We’ve continued to see Giancarlo Stanton and Prince Fielder struggle while seeing signs of life from Justin Upton and José Abreu.
On a weekly basis I’ll be providing a recap on the past week in Fantasy Baseball and the outlook for the upcoming week. Here’s your Fantasy Baseball Week 11 Recap and advice for Week 12.
1. Edwin Encarnación, 1B, Blue Jays (Last Week: .381 AVG, 3 HR, 7 RBI, 9 Runs, 1 SB, 7 BB)
John Gibbons said this isn't the hottest he's seen Edwin Encarnacion "when he gets on a roll he's as dangerous as anyone who's ever played"
— MLB Network Radio (@MLBNetworkRadio) June 17, 2016
Analysis: Edwin Encarnación certainly has heated up over the course of the past 30 days. He’s the third overall ranked fantasy player over that span, batting .281 with nine home runs, 29 RBI, 22 runs scored, 18 walks and two steals. His batting average is down a bit this season (.257) compared to the previous four seasons (.274), but is a good bet to reach close to 40 home runs again with 110+ RBI. As John Gibbons mentioned in the tweet above, once Edwin gets hot he’s one of the most dangerous players in the league, owners will keep riding the hot streak.
2. Salvador Pérez, C, Royals (Last Week: .483 AVG, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 7 Runs, 0 SB, 1 BB)
Salvador Perez 2016
— High Heat Stats MLB (@HighHeatStats) June 20, 2016
Analysis: Salvador Pérez has been solid for the Royals this season, he’s leading all catchers with 12 home runs and overall he’s batting .307 with 35 RBI and 28 runs scored. Pérez is currently the fourth ranked catcher behind Jonathan Lucroy, Wilson Ramos and Buster Posey. He’s a good bet to match the solid power numbers he provided from the catcher postion in 2015 where he hit 21 home runs to go along with 70 RBI. He’s a safe start at catcher and one of the top five options the rest of the way.
3. Julio Teherán, SP, Braves (Last Week: 16 IP, 1 W, 15K, 1.69 ERA, 0.31 WHIP, 2 QS)
— MLB (@MLB) June 20, 2016
Analysis: Braves starting pitcher Julio Teherán has quietly moved into the top-40 overall fantasy rankings. If not for being atop the rebuilding Braves rotation, Teherán would be even higher ranked with additional wins. On the season he sports an impressive 2.66 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 92 strikeouts, nine quality starts and three wins over 98 innings pitched. The lack of potential for wins give Teherán’s fantasy value a bit of a hit, but with strong numbers across all other standard fantasy categories make him a strong play. Fantasy owners can continue to start Teherán with confidence.
1. Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, Dodgers (Last Week: .241 AVG, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R, 0 SB, 1 BB)
#Dodgers Adrian Gonzalez strikes out in 1st AB today. 0 for 14 since HR Saturday night in SF. Ks in 5 of past 6 ABs
— Bill Plunkett (@billplunkettocr) June 15, 2016
Analysis: It’s been a disappointing season so far for Dodgers first baseman Adrian Gonzalez. On the season he’s batting .274 with only six home runs, 32 RBI, 24 runs scored, 29 walks and zero steals. The streaky 34-year-old has been on the decline the last couple seasons and is a risky fantasy play. He came into the season as the 9th ranked first baseman but is currently ranked 32nd, with the lack of power numbers and sliding batting average being a main concern.
2. Trevor Rosenthal, RP, Cardinals (Last Week: 0.1 IP, 0 W, 1K, 108 ERA, 18 WHIP, 0 SV)
Trevor Rosenthal time. pic.twitter.com/WGSwStO7we
— Matt Sebek (@MattSebek) June 18, 2016
Analysis: It’s been a rough 2016 campaign for Trevor Roesenthal as he’s sporting a 4.91 ERA, 1.91 WHIP and is 12-for-14 in save opportunities. His 33:19 strikeout: walk ratio leaves a lot to be desired up to this point and recently Cardinals Manager Mike Matheny has had to clarify Rosenthal’s current role as closer with the media as shown below. It’s tough to trust Rosenthal at this point and despite the vote of confidence by his manager, he’s looking shaky the rest of the way.
“We need him. We need him right,” said Matheny. “However we’ve got to do that we will. But right now (we’re) not making any major statement about what our plans are.”
3. Todd Frazier, 3B, White Sox (Last Week: .000 AVG, 0 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R, 0 SB, 3 BB)
Fantasy sizzlers, fizzlers: Jake Lamb unloading, Todd Frazier cooling off https://t.co/bz9llj2B8k
— USA TODAY Sports RSS (@USATSportsFeed) June 20, 2016
Analysis: Todd Frazier’s batting average recently dipped below The Mendoza Line as he’s now hitting .197 on the season. However, “The Toddfather” is second in the American League with 19 home runs and ninth in the league with 34 walks. It’s been a rough go of it for the White Sox this season with disappointing seasons from Jose Abreu and their recent James Shields trade acquisition has been awful. Frazier’s tough first half is concerning for fantasy owners as he’s been typically been a strong first half performer for his career. For his career he’s batted .260 with 82 home runs and 226 RBI in the first half opposed to a .239 average with 45 home runs and 142 RBI in the second half. Those stats should be kept in mind as Frazier’s numbers in June have struggled big time at .113 with three home runs and seven RBI.
Two-Start Pitchers for Week 12:
Here’s a Fox Sports Fantasy article that will help provide the run down of two-start starting pitchers for Week 12. Two-start pitchers can be huge in head-to-head fantasy matchups, providing twice the opportunity to rack up wins, strikeouts and quality starts. Here are my thoughts on pitchers scheduled for two starts in Week 12.
- Three I like:
– Johnny Cueto, SF (@ PIT, vs. PHI)
– Noah Syndergaard, NYM (vs. KC, @ ATL)
– Justin Verlander, DET (vs. SEA, vs. CLE)
- Three I don’t like:
– Clay Buchholz, BOS (vs. CWS, @ TEX)
– Derek Holland, TEX (vs. BAL, vs. BOS)
– Luis Perdomo, SD (@ BAL, @ CIN)
Recap from Week 11 Two-Start Pitcher Picks:
- Three I like:
– Jacob deGrom, NYM (vs. PIT, vs. ATL): 12 IP, 0 W, 15K, 3.75 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2 QS
– Zack Greinke, ARI (vs. LAD, @ PHI): 15 IP, 2 W, 12K, 1.80 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 2 QS
– Julio Teheran, ATL (vs. CIN, @ NYM): 16 IP, 1 W, 15K, 1.69 ERA, 0.31 WHIP, 2 QS
- Three I don’t like:
– Juan Nicasio, PIT (@ NYM, @ CHC): 4.1 IP, 0 W, 5K, 12.46 ERA, 2.08 WHIP, 0 QS
– James Shields, CWS (vs. DET, @ CLE): 6.2 IP, 0 W, 3K, 18.90 ERA, 3.45 WHIP, 0 QS
– Edinson Volquez, KC (vs. CLE, vs. DET): 13.1 IP, 2 W, 9K, 3.38 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 1 QS